Very few buy opportunities have been presented in the Dogecoin market. Trading at a 73% discount from its May all-time high, DOGE has been picked apart by short-sellers who have capitalized on weakening metrics on all fronts.
Over the next week, the major support line of $0.160 would be under tremendous pressure to fuel a rally. If sellers continue their relentless assault, another 50% plummet to February levels would be possible.
At the time of writing, DOGE was trading at $0.201, down by 3.4% over the last 24 hours.
Dogecoin’s daily chart offered a buffet of bearish signals. Firstly, the candles traded below their daily 20, 50, and 200 Simple Moving Average lines. Not only do such readings attract short-selling, but also dissuade buyers from taking up long positions.
Secondly, a death cross was just around the corner, one which exposed the market to another major sell-off. Moreover, retail traders have sought different options rather than testing their luck with Dogecoin. Data from Santiment highlighted that its trading volume has remained in the $1-$2 billion range lately, as opposed to the $5-$7 billion range seen during rallies.
Now, keeping these factors aside, the Visible Profile suggested that DOGE was still trading within its developing value range of $0.455 and $0.17. As long as DOGE maintains above the lower end of this range, a complete blowout can be avoided.
A minor rally seemed possible as investors mop up DOGE at the $0.16-support. However, a close below $0.16 would open the floodgates for an extended fall. The next immediate support lay at $0.087. This meant that DOGE would decline by another 43% before buyers can respond.
Of late, Dogecoin has been trending lower after a descending triangle breakdown. A throwback to $0.232 can be expected to transpire into further losses towards $0.16. Naturally, DOGE’s indicators flashed alarm bells. The RSI was close to the overbought zone and suggested some more weakness before a reversal.
The Awesome Oscillator and MACD also maintained movement below their respective half-lines due to market weakness.
Apart from a few scalping opportunities, short-selling seemed to be the most viable trading strategy in the Dogecoin market.
Although shorting at DOGE’s press time level would not be a bad call, a safer bet can be placed once DOGE closes below $0.16-$0.17.
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